Canada’s home and community care workforce is under sustained national strain, with projections indicating continued shortages through 2033. As Canada transitions into a super-aged society, demand for home and community-based care is expected to rise faster than the system’s ability to train, recruit, and retain workers domestically.
At the same time, workforce instability is already affecting service continuity. Insufficient staffing is contributing to increased pressure on hospitals and long-term care systems, reduced access to community-based care, and rising public costs associated with delivering care in more acute settings.
This is not a short-term recruitment gap – it is a structural imbalance between demand and supply.
Workforce optimization must therefore include both strengthening domestic pipelines and maintaining access to international recruitment pathways that currently play a critical role in sustaining service delivery. Constraining one lever without addressing the other risks shifting pressure onto hospitals and long-term care without resolving underlying capacity constraints.
A coordinated “home-first” strategy requires sustained investment in both workforce development and system capacity to ensure care can be delivered where it is most preferred: in the home and community.